Will it snow in Nottinghamshire this November? here’s the real outlook locals need as cold snap rumours swirl and forecasts shift daily

Here’s what trusted forecasts really say for Nottinghamshire right now.

Mid-November always brings a buzz about wintry turns, and this year is no different. Talk of an early cold snap and dramatic “snow bombs” has bubbled up again, stirring memories of the morning the county woke to white pavements last year.

Except that the weather so far has felt unseasonably gentle, with daytime readings sitting well above the usual 10C average for the month. And yet the calendar is inching towards winter proper, and the question lingers over school runs and commutes. So what should we expect?

BBC Weather and Met Office signals locals can trust this week

Right now, the picture from BBC Weather carries little hint of snow for Nottinghamshire. The current outlook, which runs up to Tuesday 25 November, points to daytime temperatures between 9C and 12C. Nights may feel sharper as we head into the new week, with an overnight low close to 0C flagged for Wednesday 19 November.

That lines up with guidance from the Met Office for the coming days. For snow fans, it means patience. Air will feel cooler, yes, but not quite cold enough for the flakes to settle across most of the county. And yet the window for change is approaching.

Worth remembering too that early-season snow is not rare in the UK, especially over higher ground further north. Nottinghamshire even saw sub-zero air and a proper covering around this time last year. Which is why so many are keeping an eye on mid-month signals.

The midweek date snow-watchers in Nottinghamshire will want circled

Model maps from WX Charts, which visualise data from MetDesk, have started to pick out snowfall in northern England on Thursday 20 November. The latest run shows a more significant zone over Yorkshire and the North West, with the chance that bands could shuffle a little further south as the event nears.

That does not guarantee flakes over the Trent Valley. It does put a marker on the calendar for those wondering about slippery pavements or a frosty school run. The signal is there, and it is close enough to matter.

• Key watchpoint for Nottinghamshire, Thursday 20 November, WX Charts signals snow for Yorkshire and the North West, with a small chance of edging south

And yet model snapshots are not the same as a street-level forecast. They offer a guide to likely zones and timing, then adjust as new data arrives. So a modest nudge in wind direction or temperature could make the difference between cold rain and a short-lived flurry over the county’s northern fringes.

Why WX Charts can shift fast and what that means for your plans

Maps update many times a day, which is why a snowy blob over the Pennines at breakfast can look different by late afternoon. That is normal in mid-November when the air mass sits on a knife-edge. The signal can strengthen, fade or slip south by a few miles as we get within a couple of days of any potential event.

For now, the everyday numbers still lead the story. Highs near 9C to 12C, a cooler feel next week, and that near 0C night midweek. Those are not the ingredients for widespread, disruptive snow in Nottinghamshire just yet. Especialy when most showers look set to fall as rain at lower levels.

And yet last year showed how quickly things can flip. One morning brought a proper covering after a run of chilly nights. If you live on higher ground or travel north and west, that Thursday marker deserves attention, especially with WX Charts hinting at heavier falls over neighbouring regions.

The takeaway is simple without the drama. Trust the short-range updates from BBC Weather and the Met Office, keep an eye on that midweek window, and expect a colder feel without a county-wide dumping for now. If the model trend leans south in the next couple of days, you will hear about it quickly enough.